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Cake day: September 27th, 2025

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  • While I don’t claim to be an expert on the subject, the only peaceful outcome I can see is actually just a continuation of the status quo, where mainland China uses “reunification” messaging as little more than a show of strength and patriotic political rhetoric, and where the Western world continues to treat Taiwan’s independence with “strategic ambiguity” while hinting to China that any attempt to take Taiwan will be met with a large scale Western response from the US and allies.

    I do think that the West wants Russia’s attempted invasion of Ukraine to be a sign of what China should expect if they were to attempt to annex Taiwan. It won’t be easy, it’ll throw trade and supply chains into absolute chaos, and it’ll be met with harsh economic sanctions and large weapons deals at the very least. The West wants China to feel that there is very little upside to attacking Taiwan, and that it’s much more reasonable to maintain the status quo (though arguably, tariffs and trade wars needlessly remove some of the US’s economic leverage over China).

    Rhetoric aside, how much chaos and bloodshed is China really willing to tolerate just for the pyrric victory of finishing what Mao started almost a century ago?

    I think the main hope for peace is that Xi and the ruling members of the CCP feel that it’s in their personal best interest to talk a big game while doing the bare minimum to disrupt the systems that they currently benefit from.


  • This is kind of the fundamental question of philosophy, right…? How should we live? What is the meaning and purpose of live? What constitutes a good live?

    For me, I take a somewhat existentialist approach to life. I think we have to find subjective meaning and value in an inherently absurd and chaotic world, full of too many people who same to only care about themselves. Corruption, religion, politics, cults, corporations, money, conspiracy, lies, bullshit, random acts of violence and hate–all of these things are so senseless and arbitrary, we’d go crazy trying to make sense of it all.

    So I choose to value my family, friends, art, music, hanging out, eating good food, chilling out, using open technology to benefit my life, as well as living virtuously as part of trying to be part of a good society.