Programmer here. AI tools are neat, but not taking our jobs. What is taking our jobs is the normal business cycle and non-0 interest rates.

I don’t see Iran taking that deal. The US unilaterally withdrew from the JCPOA, and all the other signatories went along with that decision. The US started a war with them twice in the past year during active negotiations. The regional hegemon that has been calling for the regime’s destruction for decades has been bombing whoever they feel like with impunity.

At this point, Iran would need to either feel completely cornered; or receive sufficient concessions that cannot be easily walked back.

You are thinking about the Red Sea/Suez Canal.

The Straight of Hormuz is the only way into and out off the Persian Gulf. Unless a ship has business in the Persian Gulf, it has no reason to cross the straight.

Irrelevant for us. The loss of a major shipping route is always going to be a blow to the regional economy.

I imagine lawyers are the biggest issue. Anti discrimination laws vary greatly by jurisdiction. This type of de jure discrimination against a privileged group to counter de facto discrimination against a marginalized one is the type of situation that is going to be thorny pretty much everywhere, with differing results everywhere.